Solar Activity: *Event% probabilities: Nov 12 - Nov 14 60% Chance for M Flares 30% Chance for X Flares *24 hr Summary. Solar activity was high. Region 1890 (S11W22, Ekc/beta-gamma-delta) once again produced an X1/2b flare (NOAA scale R3-strong) at 10/0514 UTC, which was the largest event of the period. The flare was also accompanied by a type-II radio sweep, estimated at 1012 km/s, a type-IV radio sweep, as well as a Tenflare of 360 sfu. Coronal dimming and post-eruption arcade were also visible with the flare, indicating a likely coronal mass ejection (CME). Analysis will be conducted to determine geoeffectiveness of the CME as soon as data is available in STEREO and Lasco C2/C3 imagery. Region 1890 remains the largest and most magnetically complex region on the disk and maintained its delta magnetic configuration.

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The other regions on the disk were either stable or decaying. New Region 1895 (S16E71, Hsx/alpha) was numbered over night as it rotated onto the east limb. *Geomagnetic Forecast: Update coming soon with new info on the CME expected late on Nov.